League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
The EV Charger Points Stadium

Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 3 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Charlie McCann

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Fleetwood 3 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 31.69% and a draw has a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result

Cheltenham Town 44.3%
Draw 24.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Bristol Rovers 31.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.72% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 24.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 75.32% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Cheltenham Town 31.36%
Draw 42.77%
Bristol Rovers 25.87%

Team To Score First

Cheltenham Town 52.03% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Bristol Rovers 42.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.34%
Equal 8 12.47%
Under 8 34.19%
Over 9 41.05%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 46.66%
Over 10.5 30.01%
Under 10.5 69.99%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 48.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 75.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.42% ▼ (-0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 44.31%
Draw 24.04%
Bristol Rovers 31.69%
Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43%
Other @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 44.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.04%
Bristol Rovers
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 31.69%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ellis Harrison 2' goal
  • Richard Smallwood 6' yellowcard
  • Kofi Balmer 32' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 45'+3' goal
  • Steve Evans 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Jack Sparkes 55' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 56' goal
  • Tom Lockyer 64' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 65' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Quigley 74' yellowcard
  • Mees Rijks 84' yellowcard
  • R. De Havilland 85' yellowcard
  • Shaqai Forde 87' goal
  • Tom Lockyer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Cotterill 37'
  • yellowcard Mo Faal 62'
  • yellowcard A. Jude-Boyd 68'
  • yellowcard Cole Deeming 69'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 71'
  • yellowcard Josh Martin 79'
League Two
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
  • James Wilson 13' yellowcard
  • J. Tomkinson 67' yellowcard
  • J. Tomkinson 71' goal
  • J. Thomas 79' yellowcard
  • Hakeeb Adelakun 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 90'+4'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Oct 7, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
  • goal Luke Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 78'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Andy Smith 7' yellowcard
  • Jack Shepherd 13' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 90'+4' goal
  • goal Scott Sinclair 12'
  • goal Brandon Aguilera 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 62'
  • goal Elkan Baggott 77'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Jack Hunt 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jack Hunt 50' goal
  • goal Will Goodwin 28'
  • yellowcard George Lloyd 59'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 78'
  • yellowcard Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 90'+1'
EFL Trophy
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • James Gibbons 9' goal
  • Antony Evans 27' goal
  • Aaron Collins 40' goal
  • Luke McCormick 48' yellowcard
  • Rob Street 68' goal
  • goal James Gibbons 50' (OG)
  • yellowcard Daniel Adshead 63'
  • yellowcard Freddie Willcox 72'
  • yellowcard Ellis Chapman 84'