EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Nov 10, 2026 7.00pm
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Wycombe 4 - 1 Bristol Rovers

Reading

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.00pm
Reading 0 - 2 Chelsea U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Reading has a probability of 35.42% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Reading win is 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

Bristol Rovers 39.31% ▲ (+1.04)
Draw 25.32% ▲ (+0.43)
Reading 35.42% ▼ (-1.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.95% ▼ (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 22.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.49% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 45.51% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 31.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 68.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 27.92% ▼ (-2.34)
Draw 40.43% ▼ (-0.72)
Reading 31.65% ▲ (+3.05)

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 45.46% ▼ (-0.65)
No Goal 6.34% ▲ (+0.19)
Reading 48.2% ▲ (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 56.8% ▼ (-3.36)
Equal 8 11.78% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 8 31.42% ▲ (+2.89)
Over 9 44.89% ▼ (-3.54)
Equal 9 11.91% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 9 43.2% ▲ (+3.36)
Over 10.5 33.87% ▼ (-3.41)
Under 10.5 66.13% ▲ (+3.40)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 40.71% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 59.29% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 2.5 17.83% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 82.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 6.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 70.24% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 0.5 29.76% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 1.5 38.13% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 1.5 61.87% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 2.5 15.97% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 2.5 84.03% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 5.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 39.3%
Draw 25.32%
Reading 35.42%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.22)
1-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 39.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 25.32%
Reading
1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.33)
0-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.38)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.42%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ruel Sotiriou 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Mbengue 59'
  • goal Lewis Wing 67'
  • goal Chem Campbell 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Sam Smith 66' goal
  • Tyler Bindon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Promise Omochere 21'
  • yellowcard Matt Taylor 21'
  • yellowcard Shaq Forde 32'
  • redcard Shaq Forde 55'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 89'
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Jack Hunt 90' yellowcard
  • Kamil Conteh 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Smith 8'
  • goal Lewis Wing 45'
League One Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Charlie Savage 24' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 40' goal
  • Sam Hutchinson 49' yellowcard
  • Michael Craig 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Mangan 25'
  • goal Chris Martin 57'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 82'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dominic Samuel 39'
  • goal Nick Blackman 65'