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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 41.61% | 26.12% | 32.27% |
| Both teams to score 53.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% | 51.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% | 73.17% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% | 24.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% | 58.84% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% | 29.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% | 65.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.27% |