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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | MK Dons |
| 52.77% | 24.79% | 22.45% |
| Both teams to score 49.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% | 52.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% | 73.86% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% | 19.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% | 51.76% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% | 38.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% | 74.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.57% Total : 22.45% |