Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.