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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 53.63% | 23.25% | 23.12% |
| Both teams to score 55.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% | 45.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% | 67.42% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% | 16.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.33% | 46.67% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% | 33.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% | 70.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.14% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.12% |