League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Godden (24', 34'), Mitchell (51')
Maynard-Brewer (12'), Jones (55'), Watson (82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bennett (13' pen.)
Dodgson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.63%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Charlton Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Charlton Athletic.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Burton Albion
65.95% ( -0.21)	21.26% ( -0.16)	12.78% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

1.36)

52.8% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58% (

1.15)

74.42% (

-1.15)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.38)

15.25% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.06% (

0.72)

43.93% (

-0.72)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.43% (

1.46)

50.57% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.95% (

0.98)

85.05% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 65.94%

Burton Albion 12.78%

Draw 21.26%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.92% Total : 65.94%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 12.78%