League One Gameweek 14
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Stockport
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.42% and a draw has a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.58%).

Result

Barnsley 35.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Oxford United 39.57% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.34% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 54.18% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 45.79% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 32.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 67.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.49% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Barnsley 29.67% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 43.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Oxford United 27.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Barnsley 47.56%
No Goal 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Oxford United 46.55% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 73.32% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 8 8.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 18.29% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 9 63.66% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 9 9.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 26.68% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 10.5 53.38% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 10.5 46.62% ▲ (+0.45)

Barnsley Goals

Over 1.5 37.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.93% ▲ (+0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 73.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.61% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 17.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.75% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Barnsley 35.42%
Draw 24.98%
Oxford United 39.56%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.98%
Oxford United
1-2 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 39.56%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 27
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Ciaron Brown 49' yellowcard
  • Oisin Smyth 88' yellowcard
  • Ruben Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Long 29' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jon Russell 37'
  • yellowcard Mael Durand de Gevigney 64'
  • yellowcard Sam Cosgrove 77'
  • yellowcard Corey O'Keeffe 82'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Callum Styles 5' yellowcard
  • Neill Collins 6' yellowcard
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 22' yellowcard
  • Devante Cole 70' goal
  • Jordan Williams 80' yellowcard
  • Liam Kitching 88' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 8'
  • goal Jordan Williams 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ciaron Brown 55'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 78'
  • goal Tyler Goodrham 88'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Slobodan Tedic 45'+1' goal
  • Slobodan Tedic 51' goal
League One Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Elliott Moore 71' goal
  • goal Bobby Thomas 30'
  • goal Nicky Cadden 58'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium (Oxford, Oxfordshire)
  • Josh Ruffels 25' goal
  • Curtis Nelson 36' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mackie 48' goal
  • Robert Dickie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Thiam 37'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Dougall 39'
  • yellowcard Liam Lindsay 66'
  • goal Mamadou Thiam 70'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Williams 73'
  • goal Kieffer Moore 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Mowatt 87'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2018 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oakwell Stadium (Barnsley, South Yorkshire)
  • Mamadou Thiam 20' goal
  • Mamadou Thiam 29' goal
  • Brad Potts 77' goal
  • Victor Adeboyejo 89' goal