League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Daniel Kelly 22' goal
  • Kerr McInroy  44' yellowcard
  • Ali Coote 80' yellowcard
  • Will Jarvis 83' yellowcard
  • goal Warren Davis 40'
  • goal Leo Burney 57'
  • yellowcard Alfie Bates 68'

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Harry Wood

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Drogheda 2 - 0 Sligo
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Mark Doyle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result

Shelbourne 39.98% ▲ (+1.52)
Draw 26.45% ▲ (+0.81)
Drogheda United 33.56% ▼ (-2.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.15% ▼ (-1.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 24.57% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 2.5 51.94% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 48.06% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 30.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 83.39% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 31.99% ▲ (+1.09)
Draw 43.65% ▲ (+0.90)
Drogheda United 24.36% ▼ (-1.97)

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 52.35% ▼ (-1.37)
No Goal 7.25% ▲ (+0.67)
Drogheda United 40.4% ▲ (+0.70)

Corners

Over 8 65.95% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 8 10.19% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 8 23.86% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 9 54.88% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.07% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 9 34.05% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 10.5 43.82% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 10.5 56.18% ▲ (+0.44)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 40.86% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 1.5 59.14% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 2.5 17.05% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 2.5 82.95% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 3.5 5.88% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 94.12% ▼ (-0.58)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5 68.5% ▼ (-1.60)
Under 0.5 31.5% ▲ (+1.59)
Over 1.5 35.58% ▼ (-1.96)
Under 1.5 64.42% ▲ (+1.96)
Over 2.5 13.94% ▼ (-1.14)
Under 2.5 86.06% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 3.5 4.25% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 95.75% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 39.98%
Draw 26.45%
Drogheda United 33.56%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.41)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.37)
Total : 39.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.67)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 26.45%
Drogheda United
0-1 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.64)
Total : 33.56%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 19, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Thomas Oluwa 24' goal
  • Mark Doyle 36' goal
  • Ryan Brennan 71' yellowcard
  • Kevin Doherty 83' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wood 15'
  • yellowcard Paddy Barrett  19'
  • goal Harry Wood 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 85'
  • yellowcard Jack Henry-Francis 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Apr 24, 2026 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 19' goal
  • Paddy Barrett 41' goal
  • Rodrigo Freitas 61' yellowcard
  • Maill Lundgren 72' yellowcard
  • Kerr McInroy 73' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 80' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 88' yellowcard
  • Ali Coote 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard S. Farrell 35'
  • yellowcard J. Bolger 46'
  • goal Edwin Agbaje 51'
  • yellowcard Mark Doyle 58'
  • goal W. Davis 62'
  • goal W. Davis 66'
  • goal C. Keeley 85'
  • yellowcard K. Cruise 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Brandon Kavanagh 5' goal
  • Dare Kareem 63' yellowcard
  • R. Brennan 69' yellowcard
  • Jago Godden 69' yellowcard
  • Jago Godden 71' yellowcard
  • K. Cruise 80' yellowcard
  • C. Kane 80' yellowcard
  • J. Bucknor 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 36'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 46'
  • goal Sam Bone 47'
  • yellowcard JJ Lunney 56'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 64'
  • yellowcard James Roche 74'
  • yellowcard James Roche 75'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 22, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 40' yellowcard
  • John Martin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owen Lambe 69'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Warren Davis 22' goal
  • Sam Bone 41' goal
  • Shane Farrell 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ademipo Odubeko 21'
  • goal Mark Coyle 29'
  • goal Sam Bone 66'