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Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Nov 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Internacional (Brasil)

Juventude
2 - 1
Internacional

Dawhan (65'), Victor (86' og.)
Matheus (43'), Quintero (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadorini (88')
Mercado (18'), Edenilson (69'), Dourado (90'), Alberto (90+2')

Preview: Juventude vs. Internacional - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Juventude will look to end a seven-game winless run in their bid to avoid relegation to the Brazilian second tier on Thursday, when they welcome Internacional to the Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.

While the hosts find themselves five points adrift of safety, their visitors sit in seventh spot, just five points off the top four in the Campeonato Brasileiro table.


Match preview

Internacional coach Diego Aguirre on October 17, 2021© Reuters

Having enjoyed a relatively commendable start to the season after winning promotion to the top flight, Juventude now find themselves in a precarious position heading into the final straight.

They have failed to win any of their last seven Brasileiro outings, picking up just four points in that time and dropping to 18th spot as a result.

Such a run saw manager Marquinhos Santos dismissed in October, and new boss Jair Ventura seems to have, at least, improved Juve's resilience.

In his two games in charge, the side have played out consecutive goalless draws, holding Ceara and Bahia to earn valuable points, but they will know they need victories to avoid the drop.

Now sitting five points behind 16th-placed Santos, albeit with a game in hand, Juve will be desperate to put a victory on the board on Thursday to improve their standing at the bottom end of the division, as they look to defy the odds and maintain their top-tier status.

Juventude's Elton celebrates with teammates after the match on June 27, 2021© Reuters

They welcome an Internacional side who are looking to bridge a gap at the opposite end of the table, as they set their sights on a battle for the top four.

Having previously looked in a strong position at the top end of the division, Diego Aguirre's men were forced to endure a difficult four-game winless run in the league, picking up just two points from clashes with Palmeiras, Bragantino, Corinthians and Sao Paulo, but they managed to bounce back last time out.

The Clube do Povo met rivals Gremio on Saturday, and they came out of a dramatic clash with a 1-0 win thanks to Taison's first-half effort.

Such a win saw them maintain their spot in seventh place, and Aguirre's side now sit just three points behind Corinthians in sixth spot, and five points off fourth-placed Bragantino with eight games to go.

With a heated battle for Copa Libertadores places, they will be keen to build a winning run at a crucial time to achieve a top-six finish after they ended last term in second spot.

Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D

Internacional Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Internacional's Edenilson celebrates scoring their first goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

After two improved performances since Ventura's appointment, Juventude may come into Thursday's clash with a relatively unchanged starting XI, with Jadson and Dawhan set to handle business in the centre.

However, key centre-back Vitor Mendes will miss out through suspension, with the rest of the back four set to remain the same after back-to-back clean sheets.

Ricardo Bueno should continue to lead the line, having hit five goals in 11 league appearances this term.

Internacional will come into the clash without winger Patrick, who was sent off in the dying minutes of the victory over Gremio.

Yuri Alberto will continue to lead the line, having attracted widespread interest by scoring 11 league games so far this season.

Taison and Edenilson will also contribute to a threatening front line, with Rodrigo Lindoso and Rodrigo Dourado shielding the back four.

Juventude possible starting lineup:
Carne; Michel, Forster, Quintero, Matheus; Jadson, Dawhan; Capixaba, Castilho, Vinicios; Bueno

Internacional possible starting lineup:
Lomba; Saravia, Mendez, Cuesta, Moises; Lindoso, Dourado; Edenilson, Taison, Maia; Alberto


SM words green background

We say: Juventude 0-1 Internacional

Juventude have certainly shown a resilient side to their game in recent weeks, and this could well be settled by one goal, but we see them falling just short on Thursday.

Internacional boast plenty of quality, and, refreshed from an important win last time out, they should have enough to get over the line and boost their bid for a top-four spot.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Juventude vs Internacional

Juventude
20.8%
Draw
20.8%
Internacional
58.3%
24
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Yuri Alberto of Internacional celebrates scoring against Coritiba on November 8, 2020
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5Gremio32014226
6InternacionalInternacional32013216
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8FortalezaFortaleza21103214
9Fluminense31115504
10Bahia31115504
11PalmeirasPalmeiras31111104
12JuventudeJuventude311146-24
13Cruzeiro311146-24
14Sao Paulo31025413
15Vasco da GamaVasco310245-13
16CriciumaCriciuma20202202
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