CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Independence Park
  • Brandon Cover 27' yellowcard
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 37' yellowcard
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 41' yellowcard
  • Dwayne Atkinson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Keyrol Figueroa 14'
  • yellowcard Christopher Meléndez 52'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 56'
  • redcard Dereck Moncada 68'

Jamaica vs Honduras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala

Honduras

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.02% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Jamaica 52.82% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 24.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Honduras 23.09% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.21% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 25.79% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 50.97% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 49.03% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 28.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 71.29% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 17.25% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 82.75% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Jamaica 37.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 41.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Honduras 20.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Jamaica 56.65% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Honduras 35.81% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 52.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 35.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 41.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 47.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 30.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 69.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Jamaica Goals

Over 1.5 48.78% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 51.22% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 24.48% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 75.52% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 10.44% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 89.56% ▲ (+0.19)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5 56.24% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 43.76% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 24.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 75.98% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 7.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Jamaica 52.83%
Draw 24.02%
Honduras 23.09%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 52.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.02%
Honduras
0-1 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 23.09%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 15, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Independence Park
  • Michail Antonio 77' yellowcard
  • Michail Antonio 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 55'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 55'
  • yellowcard Christopher Melendez 88'
  • yellowcard Christopher Melendez 88'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 11, 2024 3.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
  • David Ruiz 50' goal
  • David Ruiz 50' goal
  • Christopher Melendez 71' yellowcard
  • Christopher Melendez 71' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 83' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denil Maldonado 49' (OG)
  • goal Denil Maldonado 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michail Antonio 57'
  • yellowcard Michail Antonio 57'
  • goal Michail Antonio 76'
  • goal Michail Antonio 76'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 9, 2023 2.10am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The National Stadium
  • 6' goal
  • Demarai Gray 64' goal
  • Demarai Gray 64' goal
  • Bobby Reid 68' yellowcard
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 68' yellowcard
  • Bobby Reid 68' yellowcard
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 68' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 29'
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 29'
  • yellowcard Luis Vega 38'
  • yellowcard Luis Vega 38'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 39'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 39'
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 72'
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 72'
  • yellowcard Ricky Zapata 74'
  • yellowcard Ricky Zapata 74'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Leon Bailey 39' goal
  • Ravel Morrison 45'+2' goal
  • Devon Williams 52' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 59' yellowcard
  • Daniel Green 64' yellowcard
  • Atapharoy Bygrave 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Gabriel Tejeda Escobar 18'
  • goal Angel Tejeda 18'
  • yellowcard Wesly Decas 37'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2021 1.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Deybi Flores 37' yellowcard
  • goal Kemar Roofe 38'
  • goal Oniel Fisher 79'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 84'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 18, 2019 2.00am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Independence Park, Kingston
  • Dever Orgill 15' goal
  • Dever Orgill 41' goal
  • Damion Lowe 56' goal
  • goal Anthony Lozano 54'
  • goal Rubilio Castillo 92'
  • yellowcard Alberth Elis 95'