Europa League
Gameweek
2
-
Kamil Jóźwiak
13'
-
Taras Romanczuk
20'
-
Rodrigo Conceição
38'
-
Ousmane Sow
51'
-
Dusan Stojinovic
83'
-
Eryk Kozłowski
84'
-
Zidane Banjaqui
11'
-
Bruno Wilson
30'
-
Tulipa
50'
-
Alwyn Tera
57'
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok
45.37%
Draw
22.97%
Ararat-Armenia
31.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
52.28%
Goals
Over 1.5
78.09%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
21.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
56.37%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
43.63%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
34.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
65.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
21.53%
Under 4.5
78.47%
First Half Winner
Jagiellonia Bialystok
32.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
38.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Ararat-Armenia
29.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Jagiellonia Bialystok
45.84%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
6.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Ararat-Armenia
47.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
54.75%
▲
(+0.19)
Equal 8
11.3%
Under 8
33.95%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 9
43.5%
▲
(+0.18)
Equal 9
11.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
45.25%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 10.5
33.18%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 10.5
66.82%
▼
(-0.16)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 1.5
46.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
53.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
22.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
77.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
8.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
91.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5
63.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
36.09%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
34.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
65.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
15.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
84.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
5.8%
Under 3.5
94.2%
Score analysis
Jagiellonia Bialystok
45.38%
Draw
22.98%
Ararat-Armenia
31.67%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0
@
8.89%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 8.6%
Total : 45.38%
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 8.6%
Total : 45.38%
Draw
1-1
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.98%
0-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.98%
Ararat-Armenia
0-1
@
6.63%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 31.67%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 31.67%