Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Rodrigo Conceição 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 53' yellowcard
  • Eryk Kozłowski 67' yellowcard
  • goal Mihajlo Cvetkovic 21'
  • yellowcard Thelo Aasgaard 46'
  • yellowcard Enric Llansana 71'
  • goal Marten Winkler 72'
  • goal Jayden Onia Seke 80'
  • yellowcard Jayden Onia Seke 81'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 1 Jagiellonia

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.18% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 23% ▲ (+0.04)
Anderlecht 35.82% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.94% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 18.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 59.95% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 40.05% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 37.47% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 62.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 23.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 76.95% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.68%
Draw 38.29%
Anderlecht 29.03%

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.93% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Anderlecht 47.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.35%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 40.3%
Over 9 37.61%
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 51.65%
Over 10.5 28.2%
Under 10.5 71.8%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 45.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 21.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 29.1% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 40.32% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 59.68% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 17.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 82.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 6.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 93.65% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.18%
Draw 23%
Anderlecht 35.82%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.27%
Total : 41.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23%
Anderlecht
1-2 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 35.82%