Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.