Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Hapoel Katamon win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hapoel Haifa in this match.