Israel travel to Moldova for the first time since September 2008 when they face each other in their third World Cup 2022 qualifier on Wednesday evening.
The hosts head into this fixture deflated after conceding eight goals against Denmark on Sunday, while the visitors claimed their first point in Group D with a draw against Scotland.
Match preview
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Moldova were unable to build on their 1-1 draw with the Faroe Islands as they were thrashed 8-0 away in Denmark last Sunday.
Roberto Bordin's side were 5-0 down after just 38 minutes before conceding another three strikes in the second half, suffering their heaviest defeat on the international stage.
Moldova, who are currently 177th in the world rankings, have never had much success during the World Cup qualifying stages, losing 42 of their 60 matches and winning only five.
Bordin, who was appointed as head coach in February, has inherited a squad that are currently enduring a 15-game winless run, with their last taste of success coming against fellow minnows Andorra, winning 1-0 in June 2019.
Victory for Moldova on Wednesday is unlikely, but after drawing 1-1 in their last game against Israel in 2017, they may fancy their chances of claiming a point on Wednesday.
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After defeat in their opening World Cup qualifier against Denmark, Israel claimed a point against Scotland with a 1-1 draw in Tel Aviv on Sunday.
The hosts took the lead on the stroke of half time after a brilliant 25-yard strike from midfielder Dor Peretz beat goalkeeper David Marshall.
However, Ryan Fraser's low-driven shot in the 56th minute squeezed past Ofir Marciano to help the Scots claim a point away from home.
Israel have won only one of their last eight away international matches, but have never lost to Wednesday's opponents Moldova, winning three and drawing three of their six meetings.
Willibald Ruttensteiner's side currently sit fifth in Group F, but a win in midweek could move them level on points with second-placed Austria if they were to lose to group leaders Denmark.
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Team News
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Despite being thrashed by Denmark last weekend, Moldova boss Bordin is unlikely to make too many changes to his starting lineup.
Right-back Igor Arhirii made his debut against the Danes but was substituted at half time. The 24-year-old could be replaced by Ion Jardan, who came on in his place on Sunday.
Forward Ion Nicolaescu, who scored his second international goal against the Faroe Islands, is expected to lead the line with Vitalie Damascan, who has netted just once for his country in 15 appearances.
Central defender Alexandru Epureanu could win his 100th international cap on Sunday and is set to partner captain Igor Armas in the heart of defence.
Like Bordin, Israel manager Ruttensteiner is not expected to rotate his side too much in midweek.
Defender Ofri Arad started ahead of Joel Abu Hanna against Scotland and could keep his place in a back-three alongside Hatem Abd Elhamed and Eitan Tibi.
Attackers Munas Dabbur and Eran Zahavi are both expected to start and are two players in particular that Moldova will need to watch out for on Wednesday.
Moldova possible starting lineup:
Namasco; Jardan, Epureanu, Armas, Reabciuk; Carp; Rata, Ionita; Cojocari; Damascan, Nicolaescu
Israel possible starting lineup:
Marciano; Elhamed, Tibi, Arad; Dasa, Natkho, Peretz, Menachem; Solomon; Zahavi, Dabbur
We say: Moldova 0-1 Israel
The last four meetings between the two sides have seen both teams score but with Moldova finding the net only once in their last nine matches, we feel that the hosts may struggle to score on Wednesday.
Israel should have enough quality in the final third, with Dabbur and Zahavi leading the line, to secure a narrow victory at the Zimbru Stadium.
Top tip
Oliver Thomas
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.
