International Friendlies
Oct 5, 2026 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Stephan De Robillard 7' goal
  • Aurelien Francois 80' goal
  • goal Rahul Suresh 20'
  • goal Niloshan Senthurvasan 45'+4'
  • goal Sam Durrant 74'

Mauritius vs Sri Lanka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 4.00pm
Mauritius 3 - 0 Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 11.00am
Sri Lanka 0 - 0 Djibouti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Mauritius has a probability of 32.05% and a draw has a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Mauritius win is 1-0 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Mauritius 32.05%
Draw 27.65%
Sri Lanka 40.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.91% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.42% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mauritius 28.53%
Draw 43.95%
Sri Lanka 27.52%

Team To Score First

Mauritius 40.2% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 9.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Sri Lanka 50.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 37.32%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 51.14%
Over 9 27.34%
Equal 9 9.99%
Under 9 62.68%
Over 10.5 19.33%
Under 10.5 80.67%

Mauritius Goals

Over 1.5 31.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5 70.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 37.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mauritius 32.05%
Draw 27.65%
Sri Lanka 40.31%
Mauritius
1-0 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 27.65%
Sri Lanka
0-1 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 40.31%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 2, 2026 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stephan De Robillard 28' goal
  • William Joseph Francois 33' goal
  • Adrien Francois 59' goal