International Friendlies
Oct 3, 2026 11.00am
Sugathadasa Stadium

Sri Lanka vs Djibouti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sri Lanka

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 4.00pm
Mauritius 3 - 0 Sri Lanka

Djibouti

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 30, 2026 1.00pm
Mauritius 0 - 0 Djibouti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%) , while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Sri Lanka 59.55%
Draw 20.9%
Djibouti 19.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.1%
Under 1.5 21.9%
Over 2.5 55%
Under 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 32.85%
Under 3.5 67.15%
Over 4.5 20.91%
Under 4.5 79.09%

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 1.5 55.76%
Under 1.5 44.24%
Over 2.5 30.72%
Under 2.5 69.28%
Over 3.5 14.32%
Under 3.5 85.68%

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5 52.42%
Under 0.5 47.58%
Over 1.5 21.69%
Under 1.5 78.31%
Over 2.5 6.81%
Under 2.5 93.19%
Over 3.5 1.78%
Under 3.5 98.22%

Score analysis

Sri Lanka 59.55%
Draw 20.91%
Djibouti 19.52%
Sri Lanka
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.93%
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 14.23%
Total : 59.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.95%
0-0 @ 5.73%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 20.91%
Djibouti
0-1 @ 5.71%
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.52%