International Friendlies
Oct 2, 2026 4.00pm

Mauritius vs Sri Lanka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 30, 2026 1.00pm
Mauritius 0 - 0 Djibouti

Sri Lanka

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 30, 2026 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 2 Sri Lanka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw has a probability of 26.84% and a win for Mauritius has a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (11.1%) , while for a Mauritius win it is 1-0 (6.54%).

Result

Mauritius 22.16% ▲ (+1.47)
Draw 26.84% ▲ (+2.97)
Sri Lanka 51.03% ▼ (-4.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.78% ▼ (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.99% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 1.5 31.01% ▲ (+1.99)
Over 2.5 45.06% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 2.5 54.94% ▲ (+1.90)
Over 3.5 25.35% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 74.65% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.19% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 84.81% ▲ (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Mauritius 12.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 50.6% ▲ (+3.32)
Sri Lanka 36.47% ▼ (-3.42)

Team To Score First

Mauritius 24.84% ▲ (+1.77)
No Goal 11.1% ▲ (+1.88)
Sri Lanka 64.06% ▼ (-3.65)

Corners

Over 8 24.43% ▲ (+3.02)
Equal 8 8.91% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 8 66.66% ▼ (-3.75)
Over 9 17.61% ▲ (+2.25)
Equal 9 6.82% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 9 75.57% ▼ (-3.03)
Over 10.5 12.7% ▲ (+1.58)
Under 10.5 87.3% ▼ (-1.58)

Mauritius Goals

Over 1.5 22.75% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 1.5 77.25% ▼ (-1.63)
Over 2.5 8.5% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 2.5 91.5% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 3.5 2.88% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 97.12% ▼ (-0.43)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5 75.35% ▼ (-2.61)
Under 0.5 24.65% ▲ (+2.61)
Over 1.5 44.14% ▼ (-3.33)
Under 1.5 55.86% ▲ (+3.33)
Over 2.5 20.71% ▼ (-2.19)
Under 2.5 79.29% ▲ (+2.20)
Over 3.5 7.7% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 92.3% ▲ (+0.99)

Score analysis

Mauritius 22.17%
Draw 26.84%
Sri Lanka 51.04%
Mauritius
1-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 22.17%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.1% ▲ (+1.88)
1-1 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 26.84%
Sri Lanka
0-1 @ 13.42% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.73)
1-2 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.86)
0-3 @ 5.66% ▼ (-1.00)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 7.57% ▼ (-1.11)
Total : 51.04%