International Friendlies
Mar 20, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Al-Khwar Stadium
  • 12' goal
  • Majed Osman 58' goal
  • Rahman Sabanov 85' goal
  • Samy Jr. Merheg Enciso 90' goal
  • Samy Jr. Merheg Enciso 90'+3' goal

Lebanon vs East Timor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions

East Timor

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for East Timor had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a East Timor win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result

Lebanon 71.26% (+0.02)
Draw 18.35% (-0.01)
East Timor 10.4% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.12% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.8% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.95% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.05% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.33% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.67% (-0.03)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 88.18% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.83% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 62.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 37.07% (-0.03)

East Timor Goals

Over 0.5 48.9% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 51.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 14.59% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 85.41% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lebanon 71.25%
Draw 18.35%
East Timor 10.4%
Lebanon
2-0 @ 13.77%
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.23% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 71.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.35%
East Timor
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.91%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.4%