Lebanon national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 20, 2025 at 6pm UK
Al-Khwar Stadium
Timor Leste national football team

Lebanon
4 - 0
East Timor

Osman (58'), Sabanov (85'), Jr. Merheg Enciso (90', 90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Lebanon and East Timor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions
Last Game: Kuwait 0-2 Lebanon
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in International Friendlies

East Timor

Last Game: East Timor 0-3 Chinese Taipei
Tuesday, October 17 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for East Timor had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a East Timor win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result
LebanonDrawEast Timor
71.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)18.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)10.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 43.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)46.8% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.036999999999999 0.04)69.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)11.83% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.93% (0.032999999999994 0.03)37.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
East Timor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.9% (0.023000000000003 0.02)51.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.59% (0.016 0.02)85.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 71.25%
    East Timor 10.4%
    Draw 18.35%
LebanonDrawEast Timor
2-0 @ 13.77%
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 5.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 71.25%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.35%
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 2.91%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.4%