Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chinese Taipei win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for East Timor had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chinese Taipei win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a East Timor win it was 2-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chinese Taipei would win this match.