World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 12pm UK

Kaohsiung National Stadium

East Timor
0 - 3
Chinese Taipei

(Chinese Taipei win 7-0 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-3)

Chia-huang (17'), Wu (19'), Kouame (23')
Chen (90')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between East Timor and Chinese Taipei.

Form, Standings, Stats

East Timor

Last Game: Chinese Taipei 4-0 East Timor
Thursday, October 12 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Chinese Taipei

Last Game: Chinese Taipei 4-0 East Timor
Thursday, October 12 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chinese Taipei win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for East Timor had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chinese Taipei win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a East Timor win it was 2-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chinese Taipei would win this match.

Result
East Timor	Draw	Chinese Taipei
16.47% ( 0.27)	20.2% ( 0.46)	63.33% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 54.24% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

-1.64)

41.06% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55% (

-1.69)

63.45% (

1.69)

East Timor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88% (

-0.67)

38.12% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11% (

-0.65)

74.88% (

0.65)

Chinese Taipei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.66% (

-0.69)

12.34% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.84% (

-1.47)

38.16% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

East Timor 16.47%

Chinese Taipei 63.32%

Draw 20.2%

East Timor	Draw	Chinese Taipei
2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.47%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.2%	0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.32%