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World Cup

Chinese Taipei national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 12pm UK
Kaohsiung National Stadium
Timor Leste national football team

Chinese Taipei
4 - 0
East Timor

Yao-hsing (4', 60'), Chen (57'), Yu-ting (88')
Wang (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kieran (4'), Filomeno (40')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Chinese Taipei and East Timor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chinese Taipei

Last Game: Singapore 3-1 Chinese Taipei
Tuesday, September 12 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

East Timor

Last Game: Cambodia 2-1 East Timor
Thursday, June 2 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chinese Taipei win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for East Timor had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chinese Taipei win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest East Timor win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chinese Taipei would win this match.

Result
Chinese TaipeiDrawEast Timor
49.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)22.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)27.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)38.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.026000000000003 0.03)60.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Chinese Taipei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)15.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.75% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
East Timor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chinese Taipei 49.78%
    East Timor 27.54%
    Draw 22.68%
Chinese TaipeiDrawEast Timor
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.54%