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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 9
Jul 5, 2021 at 6pm UK
Gamla Ullevi

Goteborg
0 - 1
Elfsborg


Kalley (24'), Bjarsmyr (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Larsson (75')
Alm (41'), Jarjue (63')

Preview: IFK Goteborg vs. Elfsborg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Goteborg and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Draw specialists IFK Goteborg welcome high-flying Elfsborg to the Ullevi on Monday, as they seek to kick-start their Allsvenskan campaign after the summer break.

Having drawn six of their first eight games before the league was paused in May, the hosts will have their work cut out against last year's runners-up.


Match preview

Krasnodar's Marcus Berg celebrates with teammates after scoring against Sevilla on November 4, 2020© Reuters

2020 cup winners IFK Goteborg have been busy in the transfer market during the recent interval in Allsvenskan action, losing high-profile signing Marek Hamsik to Trabzonspor but also bringing veterans Marcus Berg and Oscar Wendt back home after a long careers in Germany and beyond.

They have some ground to make up, though, as before the break, the Blavitt only won once in eight fixtures to sit 10th in the 16-team league.

Finishing 12th last season was a major disappointment for the well-supported club, so manager Mikael Stahre will be keen for his men to hit the ground running against Elfsborg this week.

Stahre recently replaced former Sheffield Wednesday defender Roland Nilsson as head coach and oversaw last week's 2-1 friendly defeat to Danish club Brondby.

After six games without a league win - a drought which stretches back to April - IFK will need all of Sweden international Berg's nous and experience to inspire an attack which mustered just eight goals in the opening phase of the season, and fans will hope that he has returned from the Euros with plenty of gas left in the tank.

Elfsborg, meanwhile, were the 2020 season's surprise package - finishing second behind champions and current leaders Malmo - and have started this year's campaign in similar fashion.

The six-times Swedish champions have not won the title since 2012 and are not fancied to do so this term, but nonetheless were disappointed to slip off the early-season pace with two defeats from their last three outings before the break.

In preparation for this week's resumption, Di Gule have lost both of their warm-up friendlies - against Malmo, who also beat them in the league in May, and Varbergs - so will want to avoid another setback in Gothenburg if they are to avoid squandering momentum gained in the past year.

Manager Jimmy Thelin can rely on talents as diverse as former Brondby defender Johan Larsson - who has enjoyed a successful return to the club; being perhaps the league's best right-back last term - and exciting teenage forward Ahmed Qasem, who is yet to become a regular but has featured from the bench.

On Monday, Thelin and company will meet opponents who they have narrowly edged in recent times, having won 1-0 in last season's equivalent fixture at the Ullevi, before being held to a goalless draw at home last September.

IFK Goteborg Swedish Allsvenskan form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D

IFK Goteborg form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L

Elfsborg Swedish Allsvenskan form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Elfsborg form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

IFK Goteborg's Tobias Sana celebrates after scoring in September 2020© Reuters

IFK captain Robin Soder is expected to sit out Monday's game, potentially leaving vice-captain Tobias Sana to lead the side from an attacking midfield position.

Simon Thern's foot injury could keep him out for another few weeks, so Alhassan Yusuf and the experienced Pontus Wernbloom are favourites to start in central midfield.

After representing his nation at Euro 2020, Marcus Berg is available to join his new club, while former Borussia Monchengladbach defender Oscar Wendt could also feature.

Visitors Elfsborg, meanwhile, have an injury concern over midfielder Simon Olsson, but Finland's Leo Vaisanen has returned from the Euros and should be fit to start at centre-back.

Danish winger Jeppe Okkels, who scored the winner versus Norrkoping just before the summer break, will support lone striker Per Frick up front.

IFK Goteborg possible starting lineup:
Anestis; Tolinsson, Erlingmark, Bjarsmyr; Jallow, Wernbloom, Yakob, Yusuf, Wendt; Sana; Sigthorsson

Elfsborg possible starting lineup:
Ronning; Larsson, Vaisanen, Okumu, Strand; Romer, Gojani; Okkels, Ndione, Ondrejka; Frick


SM words green background

We say: IFK Goteborg 2-1 Elfsborg

Home advantage and a squad bolstered by a new boss and some experienced signings - who possess genuine, if waning, quality - could be enough to see IFK edge this encounter with one of the league's most improved sides.

Recent results have seen a slight downturn for Elfsborg, so they will suffer another defeat to slip further off the pace in their pursuit of peerless table-toppers Malmo.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:453810:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10146:
Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Goteborg vs Elfsborg

IFK Goteborg
64.1%
Draw
25.6%
Elfsborg
10.3%
39
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2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
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16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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