Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.