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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
 

Hatayspor
2 - 1
Kayserispor

Biram Diouf (52'), El Kaabi (71')
Kurucuk (33'), Ergun (36'), Boudjemaa (89'), Munir (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mensah (4')
Attamah (53'), Kemen (64')

Preview: Hatayspor vs. Kayserispor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both Hatayspor and Kayserispor have the opportunity to climb into the top four of the Turkish Super Lig, after recording two victories, one draw and one loss in their opening four fixtures.

The home side are two places higher than Kayserispor as the table stands, due to their goal difference being superior, having scored nine and conceded three goals so far.


Match preview

Omer Erdogan's side were winless after the first two games of this campaign, but the team have started to build confidence with two victories on the bounce heading into this match.

Last time out, Hatayspor travelled to the Caykur Didi Stadyumu to face Rizespor, who have only picked up one point in their first four games, and the visitors left it late to secure three points.

Hatayspor dominated the game and registered 10 shots on target, but it was not until the 80th minute when former Stoke City striker Mame Biram Diouf broke the deadlock, just before Ayoub El Kaabi netted his second goal in as many games to seal the 2-0 win.

Courtesy of defeating Alanyaspor 5-0 prior to their last outing, Hatayspor are the second-highest scorers in the Turkish Super Lig, and winger Saba Lobzhanidze is joint-second on the goalscoring chart.

One reason why the team have been prolific in front of goal so far this campaign is the fact that they have averaged 6 shots on target per match, a higher stat than Turkish giants Galatasaray and Fenerbahce.

Kayserispor have not been as efficient on the goalscoring front, but they have recorded the same amount of points as their hosts on Sunday and also come into this game with two consecutive wins under their belt.

On Saturday, Hikmet Karaman's side welcomed Kasimpasa to the Kadir Has Sehir Stadi, and that was a match of few chances, but the home team did enough to earn the three points.

Bernard Mensah scored his first goal of this season, after spending last year on loan to Besiktas, and Miguel Cardoso finished the game deep into stoppage time, winning the game by a scoreline of 2-0 for the hosts.

The last meeting between these two sides last season produced a shock result as Kayserispor travelled to Hatayspor and came away with a 3-1 triumph, despite the home side going on to finish 11 places above Kayserispor.

Hatayspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Kayserispor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Hatayspor midfielder Simon Falette was forced off after 15 minutes during his side's 5-0 victory against Alanyaspor due to injury, and he was absent from the matchday squad for their last outing.

After another good result against Rizespor, Erdogan may decide to start with the same 11, which would see Adama Traore operating in a midfield role just behind Diouf, who will lead the line for the home side.

Goalkeeper Munir has picked up two clean sheets on the bounce and he will be keen to continue that form, with help from his back four which will include, Sam Adekugbe, Burak Oksuz, Fatih Kurucuk and Kamil Corekci.

Kayserispor's Anthony Uzodimma and Majid Hosseini picked up injuries during the first two games of this season, and they will be absent from Sunday's team as they continue their recoveries.

Attacker Mario Gavranovic was an unused substitute in his first two games for his new club after arriving from Dinamo Zagreb in August, but he has since picked up a muscle injury which will rule him out of this weekend's game.

Karaman is expected to line his side up in a 4-4-1-1 formation, and Mame Thiam is likely to lead the line after scoring and assisting one goal in each of his last two appearances.

Hatayspor possible starting lineup:
Munir; Adekugbe, Oksuz, Kurucuk, Corekci; Ribeiro, Ergun; Kaabi, Traore, Kamara; Diouf

Kayserispor possible starting lineup:
Lung Jr; Carole, Subasi, Kolovetsios, Civelek; Sazdagi, Attamah, Bassan, Akdag; Mensah; Thiam


SM words green background

We say: Hatayspor 2-1 Kayserispor

The two sides have been evenly matched so far this season in terms of how many points they have managed to pick up from their first four games, suggesting that Sunday's encounter will be tough to call.

However, after putting five past Alanyaspor the last time Hatayspor played at home, confidence will be high which could give them the edge this weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:464134:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8462:
Written by
Sammy Wynne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor157532415926
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor155461722-519
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor146171521-619
10GaziantepGaziantep145362021-118
11SivassporSivasspor155372025-518
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
14KasimpasaKasimpasa143741821-316
15KayserisporKayserispor143651525-1015
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor143561218-614
17Bodrumspor143291021-1111
18Hatayspor141581223-118
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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