Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Suit Direct Stadium
  • Corey McKeown 89' goal

Hartlepool United vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 0 - 3 Grimsby Town

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 1 Bolton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Hartlepool United 31.64% (+0.04)
Draw 25.99% (-0.09)
Fleetwood Town 42.38% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.89% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.11% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 50.48% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 49.52% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 27.75% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.25% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 15.61% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 84.39% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 23.98% (+0.02)
Draw 41.19% (-0.04)
Fleetwood Town 34.84% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 41.19% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.4% (-0.08)
Fleetwood Town 50.41% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 63.39% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.26% (+0.03)
Under 8 25.35% (+0.16)
Over 9 51.36% (-0.21)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.02)
Under 9 36.61% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 39.66% (-0.21)
Under 10.5 60.34% (+0.21)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 32.09% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.91% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.96% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 88.04% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.6% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.4% (-0.04)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.54% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.46% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.18% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 58.82% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 17.93% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.07% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.35% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.65% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 31.63%
Draw 25.98%
Fleetwood Town 42.37%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.57% (+0.03)
Total : 31.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.98%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.91% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.03% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.32% (+0.04)
Total : 42.37%

Head to Head

League Cup
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoni Sarcevic 33' yellowcard
  • Danny Andrew 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Paynter 39'
  • yellowcard Carl Magnay 42'
  • goal Billy Paynter 58'
League Two
Jan 18, 2014 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Parkin 67' goal
  • Alex Marrow 69' goal
  • David Ball 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Jordan Richards 3'
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 56'
  • yellowcard Simon Walton 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 82'
League Two
Aug 24, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Baldwin 7' yellowcard
  • Simon Walton 75' yellowcard
  • Andy Monkhouse 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jeff Hughes 16'
  • yellowcard Jeff Hughes 44'