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Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Euroborg
NEC

Groningen
4 - 3
NEC

de Leeuw (2'), Strand Larsen (22'), Postema (80', 90+1')
Strand Larsen (17'), El Hankouri (60'), Duarte (75'), Irandust (87')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Akman (13'), Schone (29'), Mattsson (32')
Meijer (27')
Elkarouani (17')

Preview: Groningen vs. NEC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

NEC visit the Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion for their meeting against Groningen on Saturday aiming to avoid a third consecutive league defeat.

On the other hand, the home side set out to extend their ongoing three-game unbeaten run and continue their recent surge up the Eredivisie table.


Match preview

Groningen were involved in a second straight share of the spoils away from home following a 1-1 stalemate versus Feyenoord at De Kuip on Saturday.

Danny Buijs's men broke the deadlock midway through the first half courtesy of Michael de Leeuw before Cyriel Dessers restored parity in the 71st minute.

Having amassed five points from the last nine available, The Pride of the North sit 10th in the league table as things stand with only one point now separating them from the top half.

A chance to keep this fine run of form going awaits against an opposing outfit who are unbeaten in the last seven meetings between the teams dating back to 2015.

Saturday's hosts have often played out low-scoring affairs on home turf this term and will be looking to keep it tight at the back to give themselves a good chance of securing all three points.

NEC were on the receiving end of a 3-1 thrashing at the hands of AZ Alkmaar when the teams went head-to-head at Stadion de Goffert on Sunday.

In a game where Hakon Evjen and Rodrigo Guth netted for either side, Jesper Karlsson was the star of the show as he grabbed a brace to put Rogier Meijer's men to the sword in Nijmegen.

The Eniesee remain ninth in the league table but have now fallen nine points adrift in the race for the last European spot which is currently occupied by Utrecht.

With 21 of their 31 points so far coming away from home, Saturday's visitors will be hopeful of another positive result on the road in a bid to string together a good run of results in the final knockings of the campaign.

Groningen Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

NEC Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

NEC form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Forward Wilfried Bony will have to wait a little longer for his NEC debut as he continues to battle with a muscle injury since joining from Al-Ittihad FC.

Pedro Ruiz and Rens van Eijden also miss out through knee injuries, while Jordy Bruijn is sidelined for a sixth straight game due to a hamstring problem.

Ivan Marquez missed the visitors' defeat to AZ last time out, but the Spaniard could return to the starting XI for this one.

Groningen's Daniel van Kaam and Radinio Balker are guaranteed absentees, with 23-year-old Jan Hoekstra also likely to sit out this weekend's contest.

With no fresh injuries to report from the last outing, we expect Danny Buijs to name a similar XI following his side's dogged display against the more illustrious Feyenoord.

Groningen possible starting lineup:
Leeuwenburgh; Van Hintum, Kasanwirjo, Te Wierik; Meijer, Duarte, Suslov, El Hankouri; Abraham, Larsen, De Leeuw

NEC possible starting lineup:
Branderhorst; El Karouani, Odenthal, Guth, Van Rooy; Schone, Duelund, Barreto; Okita, Akman, Mattsson


SM words green background

We say: Groningen 1-1 NEC

Both teams are closely matched in the league table, and we expect a tight affair in this one with neither team giving too much away. We are also backing a share of the spoils with the sides settling for a point apiece come the final whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Groningen vs NEC

Groningen
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
NEC
18.2%
11
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2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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