Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 29.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.