Greek Superleague Gameweek 7
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Stadio Alkazar

AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Panserraikos 1 - 1 Larissa
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lubomir Tupta

Asteras Tripolis

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
Asteras 4 - 2 Atromitos
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Julián Bartolo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 39.65%. A draw has a probability of 30.59% and a win for Asteras Tripolis has a probability of 29.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEL Larissa win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.41%) , while for a Asteras Tripolis win it is 0-1 (11.73%).

Result

AEL Larissa 39.65%
Draw 30.59% (-0.04)
Asteras Tripolis 29.76% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.76% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.05% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 37.95% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 35.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 64.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 16.69% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 83.31% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 7.75% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.25% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AEL Larissa 26.85%
Draw 51.04%
Asteras Tripolis 22.11%

Team To Score First

AEL Larissa 47.26% (+0.01)
No Goal 12.43% (-0.01)
Asteras Tripolis 40.31%

Corners

Over 8 50.6%
Equal 8 13.21%
Under 8 36.19%
Over 9 37.83%
Equal 9 12.76%
Under 9 49.4%
Over 10.5 26.67%
Under 10.5 73.33%

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 1.5 31.82% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.18% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.26% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.91%
Under 3.5 97.09%

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5 60.29% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.71% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.2% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.8% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.18% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.82% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.72%
Under 3.5 98.28%

Score analysis

AEL Larissa 39.66%
Draw 30.57%
Asteras Tripolis 29.77%
AEL Larissa
1-0 @ 13.79%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78% (+0.01)
Total : 39.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 12.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 30.57%
Asteras Tripolis
0-1 @ 11.73%
1-2 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.59% (+0.02)
Total : 29.77%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Apr 4, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
  • Julián Bartolo 12' goal
  • Federico Macheda 59' goal
  • Nikolaos Kaltsas 75' yellowcard
  • Chidera Michael 75' yellowcard
  • Chidera Michael 76' yellowcard
  • Theofanis Tzandaris 87' yellowcard
  • Chidera Michael 90' goal
  • Dimitris Emmanouilidis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Pomonis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giannis Pasas 46'
  • yellowcard Savvas Mourgos 64'
  • yellowcard Facundo Pérez 64'
  • yellowcard Leandro Garate 78'
  • yellowcard Zisis Chatzistravos 78'
  • goal Leandro Garate 90'+3'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 25
Mar 14, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Ángelo Sagal 55' yellowcard
  • Goni Naor 70' yellowcard
  • Giannis Pasas 70' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Apostolakis 87' yellowcard
  • Savvas Mourgos 87' yellowcard
  • goal Julián Bartolo 40'
  • yellowcard Ketu Jih Kalvin 66'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Laskaris 71'
  • yellowcard Federico Macheda 86'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Tzandaris 86'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Tzandaris 88'
Greek Superleague
Sep 14, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
  • Jeronimo Barrales 60' goal
  • Giannis Kotsiras 69' yellowcard
  • Jeronimo Barrales 73' yellowcard
  • Dani Suarez 79' yellowcard
  • Antonis Tsiftsis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexios Michail 47'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 65'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Iliadis 69'
  • yellowcard Nikola Zizic 80'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 4.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 36' yellowcard
  • Adnan Secerovic 51' yellowcard
  • Alexandros Nikolias 79' yellowcard
  • Mateo Muzek 89' goal
  • Nikola Trujic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 42'
  • yellowcard Sito 52'
  • yellowcard Dani Suarez 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernandez 73'
  • yellowcard Christos Tasoulis 74'
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 75'
  • yellowcard Borja Fernandez 90'+1'
  • goal Luis Fernandez 90'+4'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 1
Jun 7, 2020 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT AEL Arena
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 42' goal
  • Theocharis Iliadis 63' yellowcard
  • Jean Luc Gbayara 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 45'+4'
  • goal Luis Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Jeronimo Barrales 64'
  • yellowcard Juan Munafo 78'
  • yellowcard Sito 87'