Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win was 0-1 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.