Greek Superleague Gameweek 8
May 12, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Panetolikou
  • Giannis Satsias 68' yellowcard
  • Lampros Smyrlis 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel García 68' yellowcard
  • Kosta Aleksic 77' yellowcard
  • Jorge Aguirre 77' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel García 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Davíd Kristján Ólafsson 46'
  • goal Lubomir Tupta 58'
  • yellowcard Leandro Garate 63'
  • yellowcard Zisis Chatzistravos 77'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Erick Ferigra 78'
  • yellowcard Zisis Chatzistravos 78'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Iliadis 90'+4'

Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Panetolikos

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
Atromitos 1 - 2 Panetolikos
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Alexandru Matan

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Larissa 1 - 1 Asteras
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Lubomir Tupta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win was 0-1 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Panetolikos 40.84% (+0.11)
Draw 28.89% (-0.02)
AEL Larissa 30.24% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.66% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 59.34% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.02% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.98% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.76% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.24% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Panetolikos 27.11% (+0.06)
Draw 48.51% (+0.04)
AEL Larissa 24.38% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Panetolikos 48.38% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.07% (-0.02)
AEL Larissa 41.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.51% (+0.08)
Equal 8 13.06% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.43% (-0.05)
Over 9 37.92% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.59% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.49% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 26.9% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 73.1% (-0.08)

Panetolikos Goals

Over 1.5 35.28% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 64.72% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 12.86% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.14% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.78% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.22% (-0.04)

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 0.5 62.83% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 37.17% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.23% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.77% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.11% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Panetolikos 40.83%
Draw 28.9%
AEL Larissa 30.24%
Panetolikos
1-0 @ 12.38% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.74% (+0.03)
Total : 40.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 28.9%
AEL Larissa
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.98% (-0.03)
Total : 30.24%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague Gameweek 2
Apr 8, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Giannis Pasas 46' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Apostolakis 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pérez 60' yellowcard
  • Gaël Kakuta 61' yellowcard
  • Savvas Mourgos 74' yellowcard
  • Gaël Kakuta 84' goal
  • goal Kosta Aleksic 34'
  • goal Kosta Aleksic 58'
  • yellowcard Lenny Lobato 82'
  • yellowcard Konrad Michalak 85'
  • yellowcard Christian Manrique 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Giannis Satsias 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel García 90'+4'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT AEL Arena
  • Goni Naor 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Garate 31' goal
  • Pione Sisto 46' yellowcard
  • Savvas Mourgos 62' yellowcard
  • Giannis Pasas 62' yellowcard
  • Julien Ngoy 78' yellowcard
  • goal Youssouph Badji 2'
  • yellowcard Diego Esteban 16'
  • goal Diego Esteban 23'
  • yellowcard Lampros Smyrlis 46'
  • goal Farley Rosa 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Kosta Aleksic 68'
  • goal Lampros Smyrlis 74'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel García 81'
  • yellowcard Adriano Bregou 81'
Greek Superleague
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 2
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Fiorin Durmishaj 36' yellowcard
  • Fiorin Durmishaj 44' goal
  • Nikola Jakimovski 48' yellowcard
  • Manuel Stiefler 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edin Cocalic 36'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 50'
  • yellowcard Elias Pereyra 60'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Malis 74'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dimitris Pinakas 37' goal
  • Nikola Zizic 44' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 85' yellowcard
  • Gergely Nagy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paolo Medina 41'
  • yellowcard Gboly Ariyibi 90'+2'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 11
Dec 7, 2020 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Panetolikou
  • Nikolaos Vergos 16' goal
  • Jorge Diaz 59' yellowcard
  • Antonio Jakolis 62' yellowcard
  • Nikolaos Vergos 80' yellowcard
  • Nikolaos Vergos 87' goal
  • Nikolaos Melissas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexios Michail 29'
  • yellowcard Radomir Milosavljevic 29'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Iliadis 56'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 62'
  • yellowcard Steliano Filip 68'
  • yellowcard Nikola Zizic 71'
  • goal Hamza Younes 90'+6'