Greek Superleague Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2026 5.30pm
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias

Kalamata vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalamata

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 3.00pm
Asteras 1 - 1 Kalamata
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Dawid Kurminowski

AEK Athens

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 3.00pm
AEK Athens 2 - 1 Levadiakos
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Barnabás Varga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Kalamata has a probability of 30.61% and a draw has a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Kalamata win is 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result

Kalamata 30.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.34%
AEK Athens 42.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.69% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 27.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 73.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.02% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Kalamata 26.87%
Draw 44.8%
AEK Athens 28.33%

Team To Score First

Kalamata 43.78% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
AEK Athens 47.88% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.13%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 38.45%
Over 9 39.14%
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 49.87%
Over 10.5 29.4%
Under 10.5 70.6%

Kalamata Goals

Over 1.5 30.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.78% ▼ (-0.02)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 39.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kalamata 30.6%
Draw 27.34%
AEK Athens 42.06%
Kalamata
1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.34%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 10.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.06%