Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.