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Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Santa Clara

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Pedrinho (90+3' pen.)
Paulinho (26'), Gomes (63'), Lino (74'), Fernandes (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos (24'), Salomao (78'), Cardoso (89')

Preview: Gil Vicente vs. Santa Clara - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gil Vicente will be hoping to escape the Primeira Liga bottom three on Saturday when they welcome Santa Clara to the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos.

Meanwhile, the visitors will be looking to return to winning ways, after they suffered their first league defeat in five games last time out.


Match preview

Daniel Ramos, now in charge of Santa Clara, pictured as Boavista boss in June 2020© Reuters

The home side currently find themselves in 16th spot in the Primeira Liga table, occupying the relegation playoff place, while they remain only one point ahead of Boavista and Famalicao, who sit in the automatic relegation zone.

That is largely down to their struggling attack, with only Belenenses scoring fewer than their 15 goals from 19 Primeira Liga games this season.

Since their important 2-1 win over Boavista, which lifted Gil Vicente out of the relegation zone, Ricardo Soares's side have lost two consecutive matches, seeing them drop back down to third bottom.

Firstly, Os Gilistas fell to a narrow 2-1 defeat at home to league leaders Sporting Lisbon, having led for most of the match through Kanya Fujimoto, until Sporting defender Sebastian Coates netted a late brace to snatch all the points from Soares's side.

That result could still offer some positives for Gil Vicente, having held their own against a side marching towards the Primeira Liga title.

However, their most recent result was much more concerning for Soares, when his side were thrashed 4-1 away at Portimonense, who sat level on points with them prior to the game.

Os Gilistas had a nightmare start, when Mauricio Antonio put the hosts ahead from a corner after just 45 seconds, however Samuel Lino levelled the match with a penalty, before Portimonense raced out of sight, thanks to goals from Jafar Salmani, Aylton Boa Morte and Beto.

Soares will undoubtedly be desperate for a reaction from his side in this game, when they welcome Santa Clara, who will also be looking to return to winning ways.

The visitors fell to a narrow 1-0 home defeat at the hands of Braga last time out, with Cristian Borja netting the only goal of the match.

That result put an end to a good league run for Daniel Ramos's side, which saw them remain unbeaten in four Primeira Liga games, picking up 10 points out of a possible 12.

Before the Braga defeat, Os Acoreanos came from behind to defeat Maritimo 2-1 away from home, with goals from Crysan and Carlos sealing their seventh league win of the season, just four fewer than they managed last campaign.

As a result, Ramos's side now sit eighth in the Primeira Liga table, level on points with seventh-placed Moreirense, who play on Friday night.

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form: LLLWLL
Gil Vicente form (all competitions): LLLWLL

Santa Clara Primeira Liga form: LWWDWL
Santa Clara form (all competitions): WLWDWL


Team News

Gil Vicente should have a full squad to pick from for this game, other than young forward Miullen, who remains out with a knee injury.

Their line will be led by Samuel Lino, who has five Primeira Liga goals this season, including two in his last three matches.

Quentin Beunardeau was handed his first league start of the season in net for Gil Vicente last time out, but after the French goalkeeper conceded four goals, Denis could take back his starting place for this match.

Ricardo Soares could make more changes to the side which was comfortably beaten by Portimonense, with several players potentially at risk of being dropped.

Santa Clara remain without midfielder Julio Romao and centre-back Cristian Gonzalez, with neither player featuring since the turn of the year with injuries.

Meanwhile, Crysan was also absent from the squad in the last match, having found the net in the previous game.

They will also be missing important defender Mikel Villanueva, who serves a suspension after he was shown his fifth yellow card of the season last time out.

In his absence, Joao Afonso could come into the side, alongside Fabio Cardoso at the centre of the Santa Clara back line.

Ramos added to his side in January, bringing in Hidemasa Morita, who has made five league appearances in midfield since arriving in Portugal, with one goal.

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Denis; Paulinho, Rodrigao, Fernandes, Gomes; Pedrinho, Mineiro, Goncalves; Fujimoto, Lino, Lourency

Santa Clara possible starting lineup:
Marco; Ramos, Cardoso, Afonso, Mansur; Carvalho, Morita; Carlos, Lincoln, Salomao; Moghanlou


SM words green background

We say: Gil Vicente 0-2 Santa Clara

We can see the visitors recording a fairly comfortable victory here, taking advantage of a Gil Vicente side who will be lacking confidence after a disappointing loss last time out.

Although Soares will demand a reaction following the heavy defeat to Portimonense on Sunday, we do not think they have enough to change their fortunes with a win over a strong Santa Clara side on Friday, and predict a victory for the visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:435698:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9203:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara

Gil Vicente
36.8%
Draw
26.3%
Santa Clara
36.8%
19
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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