Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Kocaelispor win was 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.