Club Friendlies 4
Aug 20, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • goal Pau Mascaró 53'

Real Madrid Castilla vs Zamora CF - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Castilla

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 19, 2026 7.00pm
Ponferradina 2 - 2 Real Madrid Castilla

Zamora CF

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Castilla win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.06% and a win for Zamora CF had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Castilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%) , while for a Zamora CF win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid Castilla 46.54% ▲ (+0.65)
Draw 27.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Zamora CF 26.34% ▼ (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% ▲ (+1.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.67% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 28.33% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 2.5 47.2% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 2.5 52.8% ▼ (-1.08)
Over 3.5 25.54% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 74.46% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 4.5 14.45% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 4.5 85.55% ▼ (-0.68)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid Castilla 32.28%
Draw 47.91% ▲ (+0.34)
Zamora CF 19.81% ▼ (-0.34)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid Castilla 54.62% ▲ (+0.75)
No Goal 8.91% ▼ (-0.37)
Zamora CF 36.47% ▼ (-0.39)

Corners

Over 8 52.2% ▼ (-0.28)
Equal 8 11.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 35.98% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 40.68% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 47.8% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 10.5 30.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.66% ▲ (+0.10)

Real Madrid Castilla Goals

Over 1.5 42.84% ▲ (+1.14)
Under 1.5 57.16% ▼ (-1.14)
Over 2.5 18.51% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 2.5 81.49% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 3.5 6.83% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 93.17% ▼ (-0.46)

Zamora CF Goals

Over 0.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 39.3% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 26.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 73.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 9.15% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 90.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 2.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Real Madrid Castilla 46.54%
Draw 27.07%
Zamora CF 26.34%
Real Madrid Castilla
1-0 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.39)
Total : 46.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.07%
Zamora CF
0-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.34)
1-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 26.34%