Club Friendlies 4
Aug 2, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Renato Curi
  • Riccardo Ladinetti 30' goal
  • goal Fabri 27'

Perugia vs Grosseto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

All competitions

Grosseto

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 4.30pm
Grosseto 1 - 2 San Donato Tavarnelle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Grosseto had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Grosseto win was 0-1 (9.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Perugia 41.7%
Draw 27.96%
Grosseto 30.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.23%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.71%
Under 1.5 30.29%
Over 2.5 45.4%
Under 2.5 54.6%
Over 3.5 23.52%
Under 3.5 76.48%
Over 4.5 12.52%
Under 4.5 87.48%

First Half Winner

Perugia 29.05%
Draw 46.1%
Grosseto 24.85%

Team To Score First

Perugia 47.76%
No Goal 9.97%
Grosseto 42.27%

Corners

Over 8 63.71%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 25.2%
Over 9 51.83%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 36.29%
Over 10.5 40.23%
Under 10.5 59.77%

Perugia Goals

Over 1.5 37.86%
Under 1.5 62.14%
Over 2.5 15.43%
Under 2.5 84.57%
Over 3.5 5.06%
Under 3.5 94.94%

Grosseto Goals

Over 0.5 63.26%
Under 0.5 36.74%
Over 1.5 28.87%
Under 1.5 71.13%
Over 2.5 9.86%
Under 2.5 90.14%
Over 3.5 2.61%
Under 3.5 97.39%

Score analysis

Perugia 41.71%
Draw 27.97%
Grosseto 30.35%
Perugia
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.3%
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 41.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 9.97%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.97%
Grosseto
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.35%