Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mornar win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mornar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 0-1 (10.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.