Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutjeska Niksic win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.87% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutjeska Niksic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Arsenal Tivat win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.