Club Friendlies 4
Aug 8, 2026 9.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santo Domingo
  • 23' goal
  • goal D. Corceovei 89'

Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alcorcon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 9.00am
Alcorcon 2 - 0 Getafe B

Navalcarnero

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 9.00am
Toledo 1 - 3 Navalcarnero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.91% and a win for Navalcarnero had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Navalcarnero win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Alcorcon 61.73% (-0.52)
Draw 23.91% (+0.02)
Navalcarnero 14.36% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.37% (+0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.74% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 27.26% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 48.48% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 51.52% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 27.21% (+0.73)
Under 3.5 72.79% (-0.72)
Over 4.5 17.21% (+0.56)
Under 4.5 82.79% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Alcorcon 41.72% (+0.36)
Draw 45.58% (-0.39)
Navalcarnero 12.7% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Alcorcon 66.92% (+0.35)
No Goal 8.77% (-0.31)
Navalcarnero 24.31% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 51.98% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.96% (+0.03)
Under 8 36.06% (+0.13)
Over 9 40.36% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.02% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 29.99% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 70.01% (+0.15)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 1.5 54.22% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 45.78% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 27.5% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 72.5% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 12.3% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 87.7% (-0.38)

Navalcarnero Goals

Over 0.5 47.3% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 52.7% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 16.05% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 83.95% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 4.42% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 95.58% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 0.97% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 99.03% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Alcorcon 61.74%
Draw 23.9%
Navalcarnero 14.36%
Alcorcon
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.45)
2-0 @ 11.87% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.04)
Other @ 12.11% (+0.33)
Total : 61.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 3.69% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.06)
Total : 23.9%
Navalcarnero
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.69% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 1.91% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.78% (+0.07)
Total : 14.36%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Nov 1, 2023 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Mariano Gonzalez
  • Carlos Faya 31' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Ruiz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Javi Lara 21'
  • yellowcard Eric Gomez 81'
  • yellowcard Jacobo Gonzalez 87'