Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Narva Trans win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Vaprus had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Narva Trans win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Vaprus win was 2-1 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.