Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pärnu Rannastaadion
  • goal Eriks Santos 47'

Vaprus vs Narva Trans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaprus

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.30pm
Tallinna Kalev 0 - 6 Vaprus

Narva Trans

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 11.45am
Trans 1 - 3 Super Nova

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Narva Trans win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Vaprus had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Narva Trans win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Vaprus win was 2-1 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Vaprus 24.47% (+0.11)
Draw 22.42% (-0.40)
Narva Trans 53.12% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.02% (+0.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.9% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 16.1% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 65.32% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 34.68% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 43.2% (+1.81)
Under 3.5 56.8% (-1.81)
Over 4.5 28.07% (+1.38)
Under 4.5 71.93% (-1.38)

First Half Winner

Vaprus 26.43% (-0.18)
Draw 37.3% (+0.30)
Narva Trans 36.27% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Vaprus 36.23% (+0.12)
No Goal 4.81% (-0.34)
Narva Trans 58.96% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 67.06% (-0.35)
Equal 8 9.67% (-0.03)
Under 8 23.27% (+0.38)
Over 9 56.47% (-0.28)
Equal 9 10.59% (-0.08)
Under 9 32.94% (+0.34)
Over 10.5 45.77% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 54.23% (+0.19)

Vaprus Goals

Over 1.5 32.53% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 67.47% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 13.59% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 86.41% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 5.25% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 94.75% (-0.27)

Narva Trans Goals

Over 0.5 81.8% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 18.2% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 57.14% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 42.86% (-1.00)
Over 2.5 31.83% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 68.17% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 15.32% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 84.68% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Vaprus 24.46%
Draw 22.41%
Narva Trans 53.11%
Vaprus
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.58% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 2.53% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.13)
Other @ 4.81% (+0.26)
Total : 24.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 6.44% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.41%
Narva Trans
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.16)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 6.15% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 5% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.69% (+0.25)
Other @ 14.88% (+0.59)
Total : 53.11%