Club Friendlies 3
Feb 25, 2026 11.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Kreenholmi Staadion
  • Mark Maksimkin 8' goal
  • Valeri Shantenkov 88' goal
  • Shantenkov 88' goal
  • goal 84'

Narva Trans vs Tartu Welco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Narva Trans

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 10.30am
Kuressaare 2 - 2 Trans

Tartu Welco

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.00pm
Harju Jalgpallikool 3 - 0 Tartu Welco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Narva Trans win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Tartu Welco had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Narva Trans win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Tartu Welco win was 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Narva Trans 42.88% (-0.06)
Draw 22.81% (-0.06)
Tartu Welco 34.31% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.47% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.14% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 14.86% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 67.1% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 32.9% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 45.56% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 54.44% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 29.45% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 70.55% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Narva Trans 29.64%
Draw 36.46%
Tartu Welco 33.9%

Team To Score First

Narva Trans 47.8% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.23% (-0.05)
Tartu Welco 47.97% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.52% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 26.47% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.86%
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.48% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 39.56%
Under 10.5 60.44%

Narva Trans Goals

Over 1.5 50.23% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.77% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.14% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.86% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.42% (-0.02)

Tartu Welco Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 42.91% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 57.09% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 21.1% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 78.9% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 8.42% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.58% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Narva Trans 42.89%
Draw 22.81%
Tartu Welco 34.3%
Narva Trans
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11%
2-0 @ 5% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 11.12% (+0.02)
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.81%
Tartu Welco
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.21% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.96% (+0.09)
Total : 34.3%