Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Narva Trans win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.37% and a win for Kuressaare had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Narva Trans win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Kuressaare win it was 2-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.