Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kongsvinger win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kongsvinger win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 2-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.