Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kongsvinger win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kongsvinger win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.27%) and 0-1 (6.17%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (5.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.