Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Egersund had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Egersund win was 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.