Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Boys win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.