Club Friendlies 3
Jul 8, 2026 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Lokomotiv
  • A. Ivanov 22' goal
  • goal 47'

Spartak Varna vs Nesebar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Varna

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 5.00pm
Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 Spartak Varna

Nesebar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Varna win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Nesebar had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Varna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Nesebar win was 0-1 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Spartak Varna 48.34% (+0.19)
Draw 25.69% (+0.52)
Nesebar 25.97% (-0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.14% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.48% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 24.52% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 53.42% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 46.58% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 30.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.41% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.55% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 81.45% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Spartak Varna 34.24% (-1.52)
Draw 42.46% (+0.72)
Nesebar 23.3% (+0.82)

Team To Score First

Spartak Varna 53.92% (-1.93)
No Goal 8.12% (+0.40)
Nesebar 37.96% (+1.54)

Corners

Over 8 64.2% (+1.54)
Equal 8 10.56% (-0.17)
Under 8 25.25% (-1.36)
Over 9 52.88% (+1.57)
Equal 9 11.32% (-0.03)
Under 9 35.8% (-1.54)
Over 10.5 41.75% (+1.47)
Under 10.5 58.25% (-1.47)

Spartak Varna Goals

Over 1.5 46.68% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 53.32% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 23.1% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 76.9% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 9.47% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 90.53% (-0.40)

Nesebar Goals

Over 0.5 60.52% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 39.48% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 28.45% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 71.55% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 10.79% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.21% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.34% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 96.66% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Spartak Varna 48.33%
Draw 25.69%
Nesebar 25.96%
Spartak Varna
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.97% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.09)
Other @ 9.3% (+0.33)
Total : 48.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.12% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.08)
Total : 25.69%
Nesebar
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.17% (-0.23)
Total : 25.96%