Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Varna win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for FK Minyor Pernik had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Varna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest FK Minyor Pernik win was 0-1 (9.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.