Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sogndal win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Raufoss had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sogndal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Raufoss win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.