Club Friendlies 3
Jan 22, 2026 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Mladost
  • goal Catalin Itu 54'
  • goal Cătălin Itu 54'

Napredak vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Napredak

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 12.00pm
Napredak 3 - 0 Navbahor

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 12.30pm
L. Plovdiv 1 - 1 Etar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napredak win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Lokomotiv Plovdiv had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napredak win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Plovdiv win was 0-1 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Napredak 38.02%
Draw 28.28% (+0.02)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 33.7% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.63% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.37% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.63% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.37% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.43% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.57% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Napredak 29.74% (+0.04)
Draw 44.53% (+0.04)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 25.73% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Napredak 46.42% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.96% (+0.03)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 43.62% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.91% (-0.34)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.01)
Under 8 37.04% (+0.33)
Over 9 39.28% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.04)
Under 9 49.09% (+0.34)
Over 10.5 28.96% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 71.04% (+0.25)

Napredak Goals

Over 1.5 34.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.4% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.29%
Under 2.5 86.71%
Over 3.5 3.98%
Under 3.5 96.02%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Goals

Over 0.5 65.81% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.19% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.71%
Under 2.5 88.29%
Over 3.5 3.58%
Under 3.5 96.42%

Score analysis

Napredak 38.02%
Draw 28.29%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 33.7%
Napredak
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.14% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.87% (-0.01)
Total : 38.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 28.29%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.47% (-0.01)
Total : 33.7%